# Useful facts, with their source limits

 — source facts, not our story results

## P1 · Real people make weather predictions

A weather forecast describes what may happen. Meteorologists use weather models and expertise to make predictions. A later weather report is a different kind of clue. A forecast can help an indoor story plan without promising the result.

**Child invitation:** “Which message would help your plan? What would you still ask?”

**Adult precision:** Tiny original factual paraphrase linked to [Bureau of Meteorology, Right as rain](https://www.bom.gov.au/news-and-media/right-as-rain-how-to-interpret-the-daily-rainfall-forecast), headings Cloudy with a chance of/Why forecasts can change. Issued15May2026;updated21May2026;complete indexed203lines personally read9 October 2026. We use a qualitative prediction/people distinction, not copied probability tables, model diagrams, rainfall-range thresholds or the provider's activity/layout/media. It does not supply today's local forecast or a result for any C/held story. Provider expression/media terms remain separate; our words and fictional tasks are original.

## P2 · A dated Rockhampton station clue

The Bureau's Rockhampton Aero station table lists long-term mean rainfall of 127.0 mm for January and 27.7 mm for August. Those are past-record averages for one station, not rain measured by our class or a prediction for today. A child can ask about the source without reading decimals or calculating an average.

**Child invitation:** “What would you still want to know about today?”

**Adult precision:** [Rockhampton Aero monthly climate statistics](https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/averages/tables/cw_039083.shtml), site039083, all-years view, mean-rainfall row;indexed site/header/complete displayed main table and notes read9 October 2026. Product prepared9 October 2026 16:36:51 AEDT, latest available data1September2026; mean-rainfall row spans1939–2026 and displays84 years of available-data equivalent. [About climate statistics](https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cdo/about/about-stats.shtml), complete substantive indexed sections read; page updated1May2007: record amount differs by element and “years” is not necessarily complete calendar years. We do not adopt its old normal-period statement as current normal guidance. The station page displayed a product-problem notice. Search summaries showed differing older values; only the dated direct table values above are used. Recheck the actual item before replacing or relying on it. No provider table/map geometry/body is distributed or all-Rockhampton/today/weather-season conclusion made.

## A useful local replacement — adult-owned, optional

Start with the child's useful question, not a big data collection job. An adult may choose a current primary explanation, relevant forecast or an actual appropriate ordinary notice, or keep the complete fiction. The child's short clue is separate from this planning record:

1. Name actual responsible publisher/observer, direct source and precise locator at a suitable public scale; no child address/photo/location data needed.
2. Keep source issue/update time, predicted/observed/data period and actual check time separately labelled. A currently checked old average is still old data; a forecast is not an observation.
3. Record one bounded own-word supported fact, relevant place/feature/unit and question. Separate forecast, report, model, original fiction, actual perception, plan, inference and unknowns. Rain on a different surface/time does not establish our selected view's result.
4. Inspect actual item terms/rights and exceptions; prefer direct link plus tiny original factual wording. No copied Bureau icons, screenshot, radar/map, bulk data, provider prose, cultural knowledge or assumed blanket CC licence. No automated scraper/feed or hidden network fetch.
5. A responsible adult reviews relevance, actual current local suitability/supervision, source scope and rights; record their actual decision/date privately if needed. A changed source/task invalidates that old decision and triggers recheck; there is no automatic approved/current badge.
6. If adapting a held case, update complete source/alternative, all matching prompts, staff criteria/worked/next meaning and rights together, then seek different review. Preserve actual old child evidence/exposure; a renamed fiction remains fiction.

**Blank adult card:** question/use ___; publisher/observer/direct locator ___; issue/update ___; predicted/observed/data period+place+feature+unit ___; actually checked ___; bounded fact ___; inference/fiction/unknown ___; rights/permission ___; named adult decision/date/recheck trigger ___. This is adult planning, not child homework or a live data service.



[Whole guide](teacher/CURRICULUM.html) · [Adult local review](LOCAL-REVIEW.html)